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Olgunluk Seviyeleri ve Müzakere Yönteminin Başarısıyla İlişkileri: CPP-NPA, TTP, IRA

Year 2023, Volume: 16 Issue: 32, 293 - 314, 20.06.2023
https://doi.org/10.19060/gav.1315180

Abstract

Çatışmalar, çeşitli nedenlerden dolayı ortaya çıkmaktadır. Taraflar, çatışma sürecinde kesin bir başarı elde etme ve amaçlarına ulaşma konularında başarılı olamayabilmektedir. Böyle bir durumda çatışmalar, tarafların karşılıklı zarar görülen çıkmaza girmesine neden olmaktadır. Tarafların bu durumu fark etmeleri, çatışmanın olgunlaşması demektir. Olgunlaşan bir çatışmada ise alternatif yöntemler ön plana çıkmaktadır. Bu noktada tercih edilen araçlardan biri müzakere yöntemidir. Devletler ile terör örgütleri arasında yaşanan düşük yoğunluklu çatışmalarda da benzer bir süreç yaşanmaktadır. Uzun süren çatışmaların ardından taraflar arasında temas kurulmakta ve neticesinde müzakerelere başlanmaktadır. Ancak müzakere yöntemi, her zaman başarılı olmamakta ve müzakerenin farklı aşamalarında tekrar çatışma ortamına dönülebilmektedir. Bu çalışmada, olgunluğun çeşitli seviyeleri olduğu savunulmaktadır. Ayrıca olgunluğun seviyeleri ile müzakere yönteminin başarılı olma ihtimali arasında özel bir ilişki olduğu değerlendirilmektedir.

References

  • AFZAL, Madiha, “Terrorism in Pakistan has declined, but the underlying roots of extremism remain”, Brookings, https://www.brookings.edu/blog/order-from-chaos/2021/01/15/terrorism-in-pakistan-has-declined-but-the-underlying-roots-of-extremism-remain/.
  • AGGESTAM, Karin, “Refraining international conflicts: “Ripeness” in international mediation”, Paradigms, 9:2, pp. 86-106.
  • AKTOPRAK, Elçin, “Din ve Millet: Kuzey İrlanda Örneğinde Bir Azınlık Milliyetçiliği Olarak Katoliklik”, Alternatif Politika, 7:2, 2015, pp. 329-350.
  • ALİ, Arshad, “Peace Talks with the Pakistani Taliban: Challenges and Prospects”, Counter Terrorist Trends and Analyses, Vol. 5, No. 4, 2013, pp. 11-13.
  • ARCANGEL, Xianne, “CPP says it’s ‘always open’ to resumption of peace talks after Sison’s death”, CNN Philippines, https://www.cnnphilippines.com/news/2022/12/18/cpp-peace-talks-joma-sison. html. BARTON, Brian, “The Historical Background to the Belfast Agreement”, Brian Barton-Patrick J. Roche, The Northern Ireland Question: The Peace Process and the Belfast Agreement, Palgrave, 2009, pp. 12-37.
  • BAYSAL, Başar, “Kolombiya – FARC Barış Görüşmelerinde Katılımcılığın Rolü: Kadınlar, Kurbanlar ve Ordu”, Güvenlik Stratejileri Dergisi,18:41, 2022, pp. 109-135.
  • BELL, Christine, “Negotiating Human Rights”, John Darby-Roger Mac Ginty, ed., Contemporary Peacemaking: Conflict, Peace Processes and Post-war Reconstruction, Second Edition, Palgrave Macmillan, 2008, pp. 210-229.

Ripeness Levels and Their Relations with the Success of the Negotiation Method: CPP-NPA, TTP, IRA

Year 2023, Volume: 16 Issue: 32, 293 - 314, 20.06.2023
https://doi.org/10.19060/gav.1315180

Abstract

Conflict arises for a variety of reasons. Parties may fail to achieve clear success in the conflict process and achieve their goals. In such a situation, conflict causes the parties to reach the mutually hurting stalemate. The realization of this situation by the parties signifies the ripening of the conflict. In a ripening conflict, alternative methods come to the fore. At this point, one of the preferred tools is the negotiation method. A similar process takes place in low-intensity conflicts between states and terrorist organizations. After prolonged conflicts, contacts between the parties occur and thus negotiations are initiated. However, the negotiation method isn’t always end with successful, and it is possible to return to the conflict environment at different phases of the negotiation. This study argues that there are different levels of ripeness. At the same time, it is evaluated that there is a significant relationship between the levels of ripeness and the probability of success of the negotiation method.

References

  • AFZAL, Madiha, “Terrorism in Pakistan has declined, but the underlying roots of extremism remain”, Brookings, https://www.brookings.edu/blog/order-from-chaos/2021/01/15/terrorism-in-pakistan-has-declined-but-the-underlying-roots-of-extremism-remain/.
  • AGGESTAM, Karin, “Refraining international conflicts: “Ripeness” in international mediation”, Paradigms, 9:2, pp. 86-106.
  • AKTOPRAK, Elçin, “Din ve Millet: Kuzey İrlanda Örneğinde Bir Azınlık Milliyetçiliği Olarak Katoliklik”, Alternatif Politika, 7:2, 2015, pp. 329-350.
  • ALİ, Arshad, “Peace Talks with the Pakistani Taliban: Challenges and Prospects”, Counter Terrorist Trends and Analyses, Vol. 5, No. 4, 2013, pp. 11-13.
  • ARCANGEL, Xianne, “CPP says it’s ‘always open’ to resumption of peace talks after Sison’s death”, CNN Philippines, https://www.cnnphilippines.com/news/2022/12/18/cpp-peace-talks-joma-sison. html. BARTON, Brian, “The Historical Background to the Belfast Agreement”, Brian Barton-Patrick J. Roche, The Northern Ireland Question: The Peace Process and the Belfast Agreement, Palgrave, 2009, pp. 12-37.
  • BAYSAL, Başar, “Kolombiya – FARC Barış Görüşmelerinde Katılımcılığın Rolü: Kadınlar, Kurbanlar ve Ordu”, Güvenlik Stratejileri Dergisi,18:41, 2022, pp. 109-135.
  • BELL, Christine, “Negotiating Human Rights”, John Darby-Roger Mac Ginty, ed., Contemporary Peacemaking: Conflict, Peace Processes and Post-war Reconstruction, Second Edition, Palgrave Macmillan, 2008, pp. 210-229.
There are 7 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects International Relations Theories, Politics in International Relations
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Emrah Kaya 0000-0001-6873-8309

Early Pub Date June 15, 2023
Publication Date June 20, 2023
Published in Issue Year 2023 Volume: 16 Issue: 32

Cite

APA Kaya, E. (2023). Ripeness Levels and Their Relations with the Success of the Negotiation Method: CPP-NPA, TTP, IRA. Gazi Akademik Bakış, 16(32), 293-314. https://doi.org/10.19060/gav.1315180
AMA Kaya E. Ripeness Levels and Their Relations with the Success of the Negotiation Method: CPP-NPA, TTP, IRA. Gazi Akademik Bakış. June 2023;16(32):293-314. doi:10.19060/gav.1315180
Chicago Kaya, Emrah. “Ripeness Levels and Their Relations With the Success of the Negotiation Method: CPP-NPA, TTP, IRA”. Gazi Akademik Bakış 16, no. 32 (June 2023): 293-314. https://doi.org/10.19060/gav.1315180.
EndNote Kaya E (June 1, 2023) Ripeness Levels and Their Relations with the Success of the Negotiation Method: CPP-NPA, TTP, IRA. Gazi Akademik Bakış 16 32 293–314.
IEEE E. Kaya, “Ripeness Levels and Their Relations with the Success of the Negotiation Method: CPP-NPA, TTP, IRA”, Gazi Akademik Bakış, vol. 16, no. 32, pp. 293–314, 2023, doi: 10.19060/gav.1315180.
ISNAD Kaya, Emrah. “Ripeness Levels and Their Relations With the Success of the Negotiation Method: CPP-NPA, TTP, IRA”. Gazi Akademik Bakış 16/32 (June 2023), 293-314. https://doi.org/10.19060/gav.1315180.
JAMA Kaya E. Ripeness Levels and Their Relations with the Success of the Negotiation Method: CPP-NPA, TTP, IRA. Gazi Akademik Bakış. 2023;16:293–314.
MLA Kaya, Emrah. “Ripeness Levels and Their Relations With the Success of the Negotiation Method: CPP-NPA, TTP, IRA”. Gazi Akademik Bakış, vol. 16, no. 32, 2023, pp. 293-14, doi:10.19060/gav.1315180.
Vancouver Kaya E. Ripeness Levels and Their Relations with the Success of the Negotiation Method: CPP-NPA, TTP, IRA. Gazi Akademik Bakış. 2023;16(32):293-314.

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